Tottenham Hotspur (K) 1-1 Manchester City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's FA Cup, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
7.78
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
61%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.33
Over 2.5
41%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
3%
X/2
29%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
21%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
11%
+7.2pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.6pp
61%
Away Win
72%
-10.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
39%
+19.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
61%
-19.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.4pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tottenham Hotspur (K) EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
199 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 500 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tottenham Hotspur (K)
1-1
AWAY Manchester City (K)
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Manchester City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tottenham Hotspur (K) and Manchester City (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Manchester City (K) at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Tottenham Hotspur (K) had 45% of the ball to Manchester City (K)'s 55%, shots finished 10-16.

What was the final score of Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Tottenham Hotspur (K) 1-1 Manchester City (K) in the England - Women's FA Cup on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Tottenham Hotspur (K) 18%, draw 21%, Manchester City (K) 61%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Manchester City (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester City (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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