Intercity Alicante 1-0 Melilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.17
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
5.8
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.2pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Intercity Alicante EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Melilla EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
1.50/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.45
-1% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
297 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Intercity Alicante
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Melilla
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
08.10.2023 Melilla Melilla 1-2 HT 1-0 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante İS3
13.02.2022 Melilla Melilla 0-0 HT 0-0 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante İS4
26.09.2021 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante 0-0 HT 0-0 Melilla Melilla İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Intercity Alicante
1-0
AWAY Melilla
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Intercity Alicante vs Melilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Intercity Alicante nicked a narrow win over Melilla 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Intercity Alicante as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Intercity Alicante had 62% of the ball to Melilla's 38%, shots finished 13-2.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Intercity Alicante had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Intercity Alicante and 0.33 for Melilla.

What was the final score of Intercity Alicante vs Melilla?

Intercity Alicante 1-0 Melilla in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Intercity Alicante vs Melilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Intercity Alicante win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Intercity Alicante 47%, draw 28%, Melilla 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Intercity Alicante), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Intercity Alicante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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