UD Ibiza 2-2 Algeciras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.33
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.81
No
63%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.59
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.56
6+ Goals
8%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
71%
-13.8pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.9pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+8.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
32%
+5.5pp
63%
BTTS No
68%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Ibiza EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Algeciras EU Bookmakers 12%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -18%
2.06/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.83
+17% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -8%
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
368 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Ibiza
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Algeciras
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
10.12.2023 Algeciras Algeciras 0-0 HT 0-0 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Ibiza
2-2
AWAY Algeciras
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH UD Ibiza vs Algeciras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Ibiza and Algeciras shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had UD Ibiza at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UD Ibiza had 51% of the ball to Algeciras's 49%, shots finished 8-9.

What was the final score of UD Ibiza vs Algeciras?

UD Ibiza 2-2 Algeciras in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Ibiza vs Algeciras?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Ibiza win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split UD Ibiza 57%, draw 26%, Algeciras 17%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UD Ibiza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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