CD Calahorra 0-1 Gernika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.45
Over 2.5
44%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+1.2pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.0pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
65%
-9.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
35%
+9.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.2pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Calahorra EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gernika EU Bookmakers 27%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
1.32/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.41
-20% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
35.0 Crosses 19.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Calahorra
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gernika
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.10.2023 Gernika Gernika 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Calahorra CD Calahorra İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Calahorra
0-1
AWAY Gernika
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH CD Calahorra vs Gernika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gernika squeezed past CD Calahorra 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was CD Calahorra at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, CD Calahorra had 67% of the ball to Gernika's 33%, shots finished 19-11.

What was the final score of CD Calahorra vs Gernika?

CD Calahorra 0-1 Gernika in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Calahorra vs Gernika?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Calahorra win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split CD Calahorra 48%, draw 26%, Gernika 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CD Calahorra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Calahorra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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