Guijuelo 1-0 Marino De Luanco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.33
Over 2.5
35%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.6
No
56%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.7pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.9pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
72%
-6.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
28%
+6.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
34%
+9.7pp
56%
BTTS No
66%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guijuelo EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 27%
+8% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.42/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.33
+14% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
269 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guijuelo
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Marino De Luanco
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 1-0 HT 1-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
19.02.2023 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 1-1 HT 1-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
02.10.2022 Guijuelo Guijuelo 1-0 HT 1-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
06.12.2013 Guijuelo Guijuelo 0-0 HT 0-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guijuelo
1-0
AWAY Marino De Luanco
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guijuelo vs Marino De Luanco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guijuelo squeezed past Marino De Luanco 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 29% — and on the day Guijuelo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Guijuelo had 51% of the ball to Marino De Luanco's 49%, shots finished 7-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Guijuelo and 0.50 for Marino De Luanco.

What was the final score of Guijuelo vs Marino De Luanco?

Guijuelo 1-0 Marino De Luanco in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guijuelo vs Marino De Luanco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guijuelo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Guijuelo 38%, draw 32%, Marino De Luanco 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guijuelo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guijuelo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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