Pontevedra 2-0 Real Aviles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-0.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
2.14/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.07
+57% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontevedra
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Real Aviles
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Real Aviles Real Aviles 1-1 HT 1-0 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
10.04.2022 Pontevedra Pontevedra 3-2 HT 1-2 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
21.11.2021 Real Aviles Real Aviles 0-3 HT 0-1 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontevedra
2-0
AWAY Real Aviles
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pontevedra vs Real Aviles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontevedra got the better of Real Aviles 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pontevedra as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Pontevedra had 59% of the ball to Real Aviles's 41%, shots finished 17-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pontevedra had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Pontevedra and 1.00 for Real Aviles.

What was the final score of Pontevedra vs Real Aviles?

Pontevedra 2-0 Real Aviles in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontevedra vs Real Aviles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontevedra win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Pontevedra 50%, draw 24%, Real Aviles 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontevedra), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pontevedra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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