Torrent 2-3 Pena Deportiva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.54
Over
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
41%
4-5
23%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.6pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torrent EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Pena Deportiva EU Bookmakers 22%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
1.50/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.42
-4% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torrent
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Pena Deportiva
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 0
29.10.2023 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 2-1 HT 1-0 Torrent Torrent İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torrent
2-3
AWAY Pena Deportiva
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torrent vs Pena Deportiva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pena Deportiva edged past Torrent 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Torrent at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torrent had 55% of the ball to Pena Deportiva's 45%, shots finished 15-16.

What was the final score of Torrent vs Pena Deportiva?

Torrent 2-3 Pena Deportiva in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torrent vs Pena Deportiva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torrent win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Torrent 44%, draw 28%, Pena Deportiva 28%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Torrent) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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