Beitar Jerusalem 0-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 10 Mar 2024

Beitar Jerusalem
0-1 HT 0-1
Maccabi Tel Aviv
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Israel - Ligat HaAl – 2023/2024

Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.34
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
59%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.18
Over 2.5
63%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.3
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
2.98
6+ Goals
13%
9.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.98 — our 30% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
24%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
16%
+4.9pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.1pp
59%
Away Win
64%
-4.8pp
37%
Under 2.5
42%
-4.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
58%
+4.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.0pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Beitar Jerusalem v Maccabi Tel Aviv — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beitar Jerusalem EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 69%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.13/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.97/0.71
+139% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / +78%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 81%
12.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.9
13.6 Crosses 11.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beitar Jerusalem
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Maccabi Tel Aviv
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.92 xG 2.74
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
261 Passes 456
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 55
12 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.12.2023 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0 HT 0-0 Beitar Jerusalem Beitar Jerusalem İSR

Beitar Jerusalem 0-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beitar Jerusalem
0-1
AWAY Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.53 xG 1.77
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
415 Passes 200
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Tel Aviv nicked a narrow win over Beitar Jerusalem 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Maccabi Tel Aviv as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Beitar Jerusalem had 64% of the ball to Maccabi Tel Aviv's 36%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.53 to 1.77.

What was the final score of Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Beitar Jerusalem 0-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maccabi Tel Aviv win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Beitar Jerusalem 20%, draw 20%, Maccabi Tel Aviv 59%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maccabi Tel Aviv) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maccabi Tel Aviv) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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