Maccabi Bnei Raina 2-1 Maccabi Haifa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.4
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
55%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.9
Over 2.5
59%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
32%
3.44
6+ Goals
7%
13.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.44 — our 32% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
3%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
37%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
15%
+3.7pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.9pp
55%
Away Win
64%
-8.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
49%
-7.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
51%
+7.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.6pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Bnei Raina EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Haifa EU Bookmakers 69%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.65/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.04
+11% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -29%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
286 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 75%
12.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
14.6 Crosses 18.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Bnei Raina
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Maccabi Haifa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.13 xG 1.06
36% Ball Possession 64%
3 Total Shots 19
0 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
213 Passes 442
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
6 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.12.2023 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa 1-0 HT 0-0 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Bnei Raina
2-1
AWAY Maccabi Haifa
1.67 xG 1.88
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
263 Passes 344
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 18
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Maccabi Haifa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Bnei Raina squeezed past Maccabi Haifa 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Maccabi Haifa at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Maccabi Bnei Raina had 44% of the ball to Maccabi Haifa's 56%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.67 to 1.88.

What was the final score of Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Maccabi Haifa?

Maccabi Bnei Raina 2-1 Maccabi Haifa in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Maccabi Haifa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maccabi Haifa win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Bnei Raina 19%, draw 26%, Maccabi Haifa 55%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Maccabi Haifa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maccabi Haifa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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