Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 Wolfsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 10 Mar 2024

Bayer Leverkusen
2-0 HT 1-0
Wolfsburg
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Bayer Leverkusen vs Wolfsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.34
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
4.15
2-3 Goals
43%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.56
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.15 — our 22% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.58
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
21.45
X/1
18%
3.41
X/2
6%
17.65
X/X
13%
7.02
2/1
9%
23.15
2/2
7%
14.35
2/X
7%
22.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
70%
-13.4pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.7pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayer Leverkusen v Wolfsburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayer Leverkusen EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsburg EU Bookmakers 14%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
2.13/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/2.34
-8% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
427 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
20.0 Crosses 14.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

Bayer Leverkusen vs Wolfsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayer Leverkusen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Wolfsburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.55 xG 1.28
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
452 Passes 291
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 1-2 HT 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
16.04.2023 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
22.10.2022 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 HT 1-1 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
20.03.2022 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 0-2 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
30.10.2021 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0-2 HT 0-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
23.01.2021 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0-1 HT 0-1 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1

Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 Wolfsburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayer Leverkusen
2-0
AWAY Wolfsburg
2.09 xG 0.17
76% Ball Possession 24%
19 Total Shots 2
8 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
838 Passes 212
93% Pass Accuracy 76%
38 Box Touches 8
15 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bayer Leverkusen vs Wolfsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen got the better of Wolfsburg 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayer Leverkusen as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bayer Leverkusen had 76% of the ball to Wolfsburg's 24%, shots finished 19-2, expected goals 2.09 to 0.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.00 for Wolfsburg.

What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen vs Wolfsburg?

Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 Wolfsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen vs Wolfsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen 57%, draw 25%, Wolfsburg 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) ✗ Over 2.5
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