Bochum 1-2 Freiburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 10 Mar 2024

Bochum
1-2 HT 0-1
Freiburg
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Bochum vs Freiburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.12
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.76
6+ Goals
13%
16.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.52
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
11%
5.2
X/2
9%
5.72
X/X
12%
4.48
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
18%
4.02
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bochum v Freiburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bochum EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.76/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.54
-1% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 72%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
21.6 Crosses 16.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Bochum vs Freiburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bochum
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Freiburg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.17 xG 2.47
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
264 Passes 336
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Freiburg Freiburg 2-1 HT 2-1 Bochum Bochum AL1
18.02.2023 Bochum Bochum 0-2 HT 0-1 Freiburg Freiburg AL1
26.08.2022 Freiburg Freiburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
16.04.2022 Freiburg Freiburg 3-0 HT 2-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
02.03.2022 Bochum Bochum 1-2 HT 0-0 Freiburg Freiburg AFK
27.11.2021 Bochum Bochum 2-1 HT 0-0 Freiburg Freiburg AL1

Bochum 1-2 Freiburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bochum
1-2
AWAY Freiburg
1.20 xG 1.41
59% Ball Possession 41%
24 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 5
331 Passes 203
74% Pass Accuracy 65%
31 Box Touches 13
37 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Bochum vs Freiburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg edged past Bochum 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bochum at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bochum had 59% of the ball to Freiburg's 41%, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 1.20 to 1.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Freiburg led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bochum and 1.83 for Freiburg.

What was the final score of Bochum vs Freiburg?

Bochum 1-2 Freiburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bochum vs Freiburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bochum win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bochum 41%, draw 26%, Freiburg 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bochum) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bochum) ✓ Over 2.5
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