Verl 1-1 Rot-Weiss Essen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 10 Mar 2024

Verl
1-1 HT 0-0
Rot-Weiss Essen
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Verl vs Rot-Weiss Essen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.26
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals
29%
2.99
6+ Goals
12%
9.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.8
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
9%
12.9
X/1
12%
4.85
X/2
12%
6.97
X/X
14%
5.31
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.7
2/2
10%
4.63
2/X
4%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.9pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Verl v Rot-Weiss Essen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Verl EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.62/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.36
+3% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Verl vs Rot-Weiss Essen Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Verl
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 0-5 HT 0-1 Verl Verl AL3
21.01.2023 Verl Verl 1-1 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
29.09.2019 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-4 HT 1-2 Verl Verl ALMBÖL
03.10.2014 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 HT 1-0 Verl Verl ALMBÖL
04.04.2014 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-0 HT 0-0 Verl Verl ALMBÖL

Verl 1-1 Rot-Weiss Essen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Verl
1-1
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Verl vs Rot-Weiss Essen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Verl and Rot-Weiss Essen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Verl at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Verl had 58% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Essen's 42%, shots finished 21-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Verl had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Verl and 1.00 for Rot-Weiss Essen.

What was the final score of Verl vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Verl 1-1 Rot-Weiss Essen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Verl vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Verl win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Verl 44%, draw 27%, Rot-Weiss Essen 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Verl), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Verl) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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