Freiburg (K) 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 10 Mar 2024

Freiburg (K)
0-0 HT 0-0
Bayer Leverkusen (K)
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Freiburg (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.12
Draw
35%
3.35
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.73
No
39%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
43%
-12.6pp
35%
Draw
26%
+8.4pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
54%
+7.3pp
39%
BTTS No
46%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Freiburg (K) v Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Freiburg (K) 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freiburg (K)
0-0
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen (K)
0.72 xG 0.75
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
336 Passes 306
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Freiburg (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg (K) and Bayer Leverkusen (K) played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (31% / 35% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Freiburg (K) had 53% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen (K)'s 47%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.72 to 0.75.

What was the final score of Freiburg (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Freiburg (K) 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg (K) vs Bayer Leverkusen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Freiburg (K) 31%, draw 35%, Bayer Leverkusen (K) 35%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (31/35/35) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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