Pas de la Casa 2-2 Penya Encarnada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
49%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.74
Over 2.5
57%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
35%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+7.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
49%
Away Win
55%
-6.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
54%
-10.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
46%
+10.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.8pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pas de la Casa EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Penya Encarnada EU Bookmakers 59%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.48/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.63
-67% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +47%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
219 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pas de la Casa
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Penya Encarnada
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 Pas de la Casa 0-1 HT 0-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
01.10.2023 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 2-0 HT 1-0 Pas de la Casa AND
POST-MATCH Pas de la Casa vs Penya Encarnada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pas de la Casa and Penya Encarnada couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Penya Encarnada at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Penya Encarnada led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Pas de la Casa and 1.50 for Penya Encarnada.

What was the final score of Pas de la Casa vs Penya Encarnada?

Pas de la Casa 2-2 Penya Encarnada in the Andorra - 1st Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pas de la Casa vs Penya Encarnada?

Before kick-off our model rated an Penya Encarnada win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Pas de la Casa 27%, draw 24%, Penya Encarnada 49%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Penya Encarnada) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Penya Encarnada) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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