Turan Tovuz 2-0 Araz Nahçıvan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+2.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.08/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.50
+87% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Turan Tovuz
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
24.12.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 3-1 HT 2-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
04.08.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 3-0 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
POST-MATCH Turan Tovuz vs Araz Nahçıvan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Turan Tovuz beat Araz Nahçıvan 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Turan Tovuz as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Turan Tovuz had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Turan Tovuz and 0.50 for Araz Nahçıvan.

What was the final score of Turan Tovuz vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Turan Tovuz 2-0 Araz Nahçıvan in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Turan Tovuz vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Turan Tovuz 48%, draw 23%, Araz Nahçıvan 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Turan Tovuz) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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