RFC Liege 1-0 Deinze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.25
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
3.0
6+ Goals
13%
9.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-2.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.6pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Deinze EU Bookmakers 45%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +9%
1.78/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.47
-18% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 79%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
20.4 Crosses 20.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RFC Liege
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Deinze
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
2.72 xG 1.91
41% Ball Possession 59%
19 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
303 Passes 481
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 32
27 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.09.2023 Deinze Deinze 3-1 HT 1-1 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Liege
1-0
AWAY Deinze
2.78 xG 0.88
45% Ball Possession 55%
24 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 6
217 Passes 298
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
37 Box Touches 22
27 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RFC Liege vs Deinze
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RFC Liege squeezed past Deinze 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 38% — and on the day RFC Liege made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, RFC Liege had 45% of the ball to Deinze's 55%, shots finished 24-6, expected goals 2.78 to 0.88 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold RFC Liege's control.

What was the final score of RFC Liege vs Deinze?

RFC Liege 1-0 Deinze in the Belgium - 1st Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Liege vs Deinze?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deinze win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split RFC Liege 34%, draw 27%, Deinze 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deinze) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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