Dinamo Minsk 2-3 BATE Borisov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Cup, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
31%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
61%
-17.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
31%
Away Win
16%
+14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Minsk EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY BATE Borisov EU Bookmakers 20%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-41% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Minsk
2W-3D-1L
AWAY BATE Borisov
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.03.2024 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 0-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLRK
02.11.2023 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 0-1 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
15.04.2023 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-3 HT 0-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
10.09.2022 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
02.05.2022 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 2-2 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
06.11.2021 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Minsk
2-3
AWAY BATE Borisov
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dinamo Minsk vs BATE Borisov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BATE Borisov nicked a narrow win over Dinamo Minsk 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Minsk at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dinamo Minsk had 56% of the ball to BATE Borisov's 44%, shots finished 22-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Minsk had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dinamo Minsk and 0.83 for BATE Borisov.

What was the final score of Dinamo Minsk vs BATE Borisov?

Dinamo Minsk 2-3 BATE Borisov in the Belarus - Cup on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Minsk vs BATE Borisov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Minsk 44%, draw 26%, BATE Borisov 31%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dinamo Minsk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Minsk) ✓ BTTS Yes
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