Silkeborg IF 0-1 AGF Aarhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.61
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.51
6+ Goals
8%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.03
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
11%
5.52
X/2
15%
5.38
X/X
9%
3.87
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.88
2/X
10%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Silkeborg IF EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 39%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.86/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.06
+21% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +44%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
293 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
14.2 Crosses 20.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Silkeborg IF
2W-3D-1L
AWAY AGF Aarhus
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.20 xG 1.57
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
497 Passes 373
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.08.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 2-2 HT 1-0 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
26.02.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-1 HT 1-0 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
11.09.2022 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 1-0 HT 1-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
26.11.2021 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-1 HT 1-0 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
20.09.2021 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 0-2 HT 0-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
09.03.2020 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 2-1 HT 2-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Silkeborg IF
0-1
AWAY AGF Aarhus
0.61 xG 0.14
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 5
572 Passes 404
89% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Silkeborg IF vs AGF Aarhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AGF Aarhus edged past Silkeborg IF 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day AGF Aarhus made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Silkeborg IF had 57% of the ball to AGF Aarhus's 43%, shots finished 10-4, expected goals 0.61 to 0.14 — the balance of chances actually favoured Silkeborg IF.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Silkeborg IF had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Silkeborg IF and 1.17 for AGF Aarhus.

What was the final score of Silkeborg IF vs AGF Aarhus?

Silkeborg IF 0-1 AGF Aarhus in the Denmark - Süperlig on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Silkeborg IF vs AGF Aarhus?

Before kick-off our model rated an AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Silkeborg IF 35%, draw 28%, AGF Aarhus 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AGF Aarhus), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✓ Under 2.5
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