Viborg 1-2 Brondby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 10 Mar 2024

Viborg
1-2 HT 0-1
Brondby
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2023/2024

Viborg vs Brondby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.29
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
45%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 25% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.44
1/2
8%
23.6
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1 EV+ ✗
16%
7.56
X/2
16%
4.45
X/X
7%
5.02
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.6
2/X
7%
13.45
Value flag · X/1 at 7.56 — our 16% vs market 9.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+8.2pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.0pp
45%
Away Win
48%
-3.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Viborg v Brondby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viborg EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Brondby EU Bookmakers 52%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +10%
1.45/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.50
+13% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +8%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 79%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
17.2 Crosses 15.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Viborg vs Brondby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viborg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Brondby
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.21 xG 1.16
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
308 Passes 410
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Brondby Brondby 1-0 HT 0-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
21.05.2023 Viborg Viborg 1-1 HT 0-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
02.04.2023 Brondby Brondby 0-3 HT 0-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
13.11.2022 Brondby Brondby 0-2 HT 0-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
18.09.2022 Viborg Viborg 0-0 HT 0-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
31.10.2021 Viborg Viborg 0-1 HT 0-0 Brondby Brondby DAN

Viborg 1-2 Brondby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viborg
1-2
AWAY Brondby
0.90 xG 1.15
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
438 Passes 453
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Viborg vs Brondby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brondby squeezed past Viborg 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brondby as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Viborg had 49% of the ball to Brondby's 51%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.90 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Viborg and 0.50 for Brondby.

What was the final score of Viborg vs Brondby?

Viborg 1-2 Brondby in the Denmark - Süperlig on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viborg vs Brondby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brondby win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Viborg 35%, draw 20%, Brondby 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brondby), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brondby) ✓ Over 2.5
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