FC Flora Tallinn 2-2 Tallinna Kalev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.45
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
65%
-6.0pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.0pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 18%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +33%
1.71/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.04
-11% / +123% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +74%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
20.08.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
27.05.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-0 HT 2-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
18.03.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
05.11.2022 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
17.07.2022 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-0 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
2-2
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn and Tallinna Kalev couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. FC Flora Tallinn carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 57% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 43%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 0.33 for Tallinna Kalev.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev?

FC Flora Tallinn 2-2 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Premium League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 59%, draw 20%, Tallinna Kalev 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✗ BTTS No
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