Paide Linnameeskond 3-1 Nomme United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.22
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.63
Over 2.5
62%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.96
No
43%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
77%
-17.3pp
23%
Draw
14%
+8.8pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+8.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
34%
+3.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
66%
-3.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
47%
+10.0pp
43%
BTTS No
53%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme United EU Bookmakers 11%
-13% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.60/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-2% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +18%
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
467 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Nomme United
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
73% Ball Possession 27%
25 Total Shots 3
13 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2022 Nomme United Nomme United 0-4 HT 0-3 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond ESTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
3-1
AWAY Nomme United
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond saw off Nomme United 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 66% of the ball to Nomme United's 34%, shots finished 15-3.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme United?

Paide Linnameeskond 3-1 Nomme United in the Estonia - Premium League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 60%, draw 23%, Nomme United 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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