10/03/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Ardziv vs Agde Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
Over
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
No
42%
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
48%
4-5
23%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
42%
Home Win
35%
24%
Draw
26%
34%
Away Win
39%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ardziv v Agde — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ardziv
The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY
Agde
The Market 43%
+43% /
+43%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+52% /
+52%
1.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
4.00/0.00
-24%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+150%
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
13
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
323 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
338 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Ardziv vs Agde Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Ardziv
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Agde
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Ardziv vs Agde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ardziv saw off Agde 3-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Ardziv as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Ardziv vs Agde?
Ardziv 3-1 Agde in the France - National League 3 on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ardziv vs Agde?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ardziv win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ardziv 42%, draw 24%, Agde 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ardziv), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Ardziv)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
10 Mar 2024