Châteauneuf-sur-Loire 3-1 Chatellerault — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 10 Mar 2024

Châteauneuf-sur-Loire
3-1
Chatellerault
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - National League 3 – 2023/2024

Châteauneuf-sur-Loire vs Chatellerault Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
Over
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
43%
4-5
17%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.5pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Châteauneuf-sur-Loire v Chatellerault — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Châteauneuf-sur-Loire The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Chatellerault The Market 32%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Châteauneuf-sur-Loire vs Chatellerault
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Châteauneuf-sur-Loire got the better of Chatellerault 3-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Châteauneuf-sur-Loire as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Châteauneuf-sur-Loire vs Chatellerault?

Châteauneuf-sur-Loire 3-1 Chatellerault in the France - National League 3 on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Châteauneuf-sur-Loire vs Chatellerault?

Before kick-off our model rated a Châteauneuf-sur-Loire win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Châteauneuf-sur-Loire 42%, draw 28%, Chatellerault 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Châteauneuf-sur-Loire) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Châteauneuf-sur-Loire) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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