10/03/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Cuilapa vs Universidad San Carlos Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
47%
4-5
27%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
38%
Home Win
36%
26%
Draw
25%
36%
Away Win
39%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cuilapa v Universidad San Carlos — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Cuilapa
The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Universidad San Carlos
The Market 43%
+48% /
+48%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-53%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
11
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
299 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
350 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Cuilapa vs Universidad San Carlos Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Cuilapa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Universidad San Carlos
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
32%
Ball Possession
68%
7
Total Shots
23
1
Shots on Target
9
1
Corners
3
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Cuilapa vs Universidad San Carlos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Cuilapa saw off Universidad San Carlos 2-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Cuilapa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Cuilapa vs Universidad San Carlos?
Cuilapa 2-0 Universidad San Carlos in the Guatemela - Premier League Apertura on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cuilapa vs Universidad San Carlos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cuilapa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cuilapa 38%, draw 26%, Universidad San Carlos 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cuilapa) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Cuilapa)
✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
GUAP
More Guatemela - Premier League Apertura
10 Mar 2024