Coban Imperial 2-5 Xinabajul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.47
Draw
31%
4.08
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
64%
-12.0pp
31%
Draw
22%
+9.6pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.3pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coban Imperial EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +3%
1.63/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.63
-11% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
304 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coban Imperial
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Xinabajul
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
12.02.2024 Xinabajul Xinabajul 2-2 HT 1-1 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
02.10.2023 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 2-0 HT 1-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
26.08.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 3-3 HT 0-2 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
01.05.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 0-1 HT 0-0 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
02.03.2023 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 1-1 HT 1-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
03.10.2022 Xinabajul Xinabajul 1-1 HT 0-0 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
POST-MATCH Coban Imperial vs Xinabajul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xinabajul ran out comfortable winners over Coban Imperial 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Coban Imperial at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coban Imperial had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Coban Imperial and 1.17 for Xinabajul.

What was the final score of Coban Imperial vs Xinabajul?

Coban Imperial 2-5 Xinabajul in the Guatemala - National League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coban Imperial vs Xinabajul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coban Imperial win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Coban Imperial 52%, draw 31%, Xinabajul 17%. The final score 2-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Coban Imperial) ✗ Under 2.5
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