Municipal 3-1 Zacapa Tellioz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 10 Mar 2024

Municipal
3-1 HT 2-1
Zacapa Tellioz
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Guatemala - National League – 2023/2024

Municipal vs Zacapa Tellioz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
72%
-11.0pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.0pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.1pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Municipal v Zacapa Tellioz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Zacapa Tellioz EU Bookmakers 12%
-2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
2.23/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.11
+16% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
410 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.2

Municipal vs Zacapa Tellioz Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Zacapa Tellioz
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.02.2024 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
03.12.2023 Municipal Municipal 1-2 HT 1-0 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz GUAT
01.12.2023 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz 1-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
01.10.2023 Municipal Municipal 4-2 HT 0-1 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz GUAT
27.08.2023 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz 0-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT

Municipal 3-1 Zacapa Tellioz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal
3-1
AWAY Zacapa Tellioz
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Zacapa Tellioz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal beat Zacapa Tellioz 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Municipal had 53% of the ball to Zacapa Tellioz's 47%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Municipal and 1.00 for Zacapa Tellioz.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Zacapa Tellioz?

Municipal 3-1 Zacapa Tellioz in the Guatemala - National League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Zacapa Tellioz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Municipal 61%, draw 23%, Zacapa Tellioz 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✗ BTTS No
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