Rijeka 3-0 Osijek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.8
Over 2.5
54%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.76
6+ Goals
13%
16.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-4.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.3pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Osijek EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.59/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.64
+13% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
23.3 Crosses 16.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijeka
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Osijek
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.02 xG 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 Passes 254
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Osijek Osijek 0-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
16.09.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 2-1 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
27.05.2023 Osijek Osijek 1-1 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
02.04.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 1-1 HT 1-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
21.01.2023 Osijek Osijek 1-1 HT 1-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
10.09.2022 Rijeka Rijeka 0-3 HT 0-2 Osijek Osijek HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
3-0
AWAY Osijek
1.55 xG 0.47
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
259 Passes 334
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rijeka vs Osijek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka ran out comfortable winners over Osijek 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rijeka as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Rijeka had 45% of the ball to Osijek's 55%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 1.55 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rijeka and 1.17 for Osijek.

What was the final score of Rijeka vs Osijek?

Rijeka 3-0 Osijek in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Osijek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 54%, draw 26%, Osijek 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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