FC Gifu 4-3 Kamatamare Sanuki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Gifu EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kamatamare Sanuki EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.48/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.24
+8% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Gifu
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kamatamare Sanuki
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 FC Gifu FC Gifu 1-0 HT 0-0 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP3
14.05.2023 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
23.07.2022 FC Gifu FC Gifu 2-1 HT 1-1 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP3
30.04.2022 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
10.10.2021 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
28.03.2021 FC Gifu FC Gifu 4-0 HT 2-0 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Gifu
4-3
AWAY Kamatamare Sanuki
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Gifu vs Kamatamare Sanuki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Gifu nicked a narrow win over Kamatamare Sanuki 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Gifu as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FC Gifu had 52% of the ball to Kamatamare Sanuki's 48%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Gifu had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Gifu and 0.50 for Kamatamare Sanuki.

What was the final score of FC Gifu vs Kamatamare Sanuki?

FC Gifu 4-3 Kamatamare Sanuki in the Japan - J3 League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Gifu vs Kamatamare Sanuki?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Gifu win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Gifu 42%, draw 27%, Kamatamare Sanuki 31%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Gifu) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Gifu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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