Gainare Tottori 1-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.7pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 32%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.50/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.39
+9% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainare Tottori
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.08.2023 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 2-0 HT 1-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
08.07.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-2 HT 0-2 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
21.08.2022 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-2 HT 0-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
19.06.2022 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 2-0 HT 1-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
03.10.2021 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 0-4 HT 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
11.04.2021 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-1 HT 2-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainare Tottori
1-1
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gainare Tottori vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainare Tottori and Tegevajaro Miyazaki shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gainare Tottori at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gainare Tottori had 55% of the ball to Tegevajaro Miyazaki's 45%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gainare Tottori had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gainare Tottori and 1.00 for Tegevajaro Miyazaki.

What was the final score of Gainare Tottori vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Gainare Tottori 1-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki in the Japan - J3 League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainare Tottori vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gainare Tottori win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gainare Tottori 46%, draw 24%, Tegevajaro Miyazaki 30%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gainare Tottori) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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