Grobina 0-1 Riga FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
12.23
Draw
24%
7.13
Away
60%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
3.46
Over 2.5
56%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
5%
+11.0pp
24%
Draw
10%
+13.2pp
60%
Away Win
84%
-24.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
25%
+18.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
75%
-18.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.7pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grobina EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC EU Bookmakers 90%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +86%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
243 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 52.0
Crosses 35.5
Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grobina
0-1
AWAY Riga FC
0.30 xG 2.94
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 13
208 Passes 506
71% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 46
15 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grobina vs Riga FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC nicked a narrow win over Grobina 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Grobina had 35% of the ball to Riga FC's 65%, shots finished 8-26, expected goals 0.30 to 2.94 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Riga FC's control.

What was the final score of Grobina vs Riga FC?

Grobina 0-1 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grobina vs Riga FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Grobina 16%, draw 24%, Riga FC 60%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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10 Mar 2024
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