Metta / LU Riga 0-2 Valmiera / BSS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
5.34
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
46%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
16%
+12.9pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.3pp
46%
Away Win
63%
-17.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.9pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Valmiera / BSS EU Bookmakers 67%
+7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -22%
1.16/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.17
+53% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -30%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
254 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 459 · 83%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
19.8 Crosses 25.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metta / LU Riga
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Valmiera / BSS
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.19 xG 1.12
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
282 Passes 335
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 4-1 HT 1-1 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
06.08.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 2-1 HT 0-1 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
31.05.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 1-1 HT 0-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
20.04.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-1 HT 0-0 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
09.10.2022 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-4 HT 0-1 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
24.07.2022 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 6-1 HT 1-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metta / LU Riga
0-2
AWAY Valmiera / BSS
1.07 xG 2.24
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
301 Passes 421
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 39
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Metta / LU Riga vs Valmiera / BSS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valmiera / BSS saw off Metta / LU Riga 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Valmiera / BSS as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Metta / LU Riga had 43% of the ball to Valmiera / BSS's 57%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 1.07 to 2.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valmiera / BSS led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Metta / LU Riga and 2.50 for Valmiera / BSS.

What was the final score of Metta / LU Riga vs Valmiera / BSS?

Metta / LU Riga 0-2 Valmiera / BSS in the Latvia - Virsliga on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metta / LU Riga vs Valmiera / BSS?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valmiera / BSS win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Metta / LU Riga 29%, draw 26%, Valmiera / BSS 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valmiera / BSS) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valmiera / BSS) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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