Mosta 0-4 Hamrun Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.91
Draw
32%
4.08
Away
51%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.8
Over 2.5
36%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.27
No
66%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
14%
+3.9pp
32%
Draw
21%
+10.9pp
51%
Away Win
66%
-14.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
52%
+12.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
48%
-12.7pp
34%
BTTS Yes
40%
-5.9pp
66%
BTTS No
60%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mosta EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 70%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.79/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/0.54
+16% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +16%
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
236 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 443 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mosta
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-1 HT 1-1 Mosta Mosta MLTP
05.03.2023 Mosta Mosta 1-2 HT 0-2 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
22.10.2022 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 2-1 HT 1-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
17.01.2022 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 2-1 HT 1-1 Mosta Mosta MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mosta
0-4
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mosta vs Hamrun Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans ran out comfortable winners over Mosta 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hamrun Spartans as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (66%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Mosta had 53% of the ball to Hamrun Spartans's 47%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mosta and 1.75 for Hamrun Spartans.

What was the final score of Mosta vs Hamrun Spartans?

Mosta 0-4 Hamrun Spartans in the Malta - Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mosta vs Hamrun Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Mosta 17%, draw 32%, Hamrun Spartans 51%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamrun Spartans), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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