Valletta 1-1 Gzira United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
47%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
33%
-5.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
47%
Away Win
38%
+8.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valletta EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Gzira United EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
0.44/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.19
-55% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valletta
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Gzira United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Gzira United Gzira United 1-1 HT 1-0 Valletta Valletta MLTP
05.03.2023 Gzira United Gzira United 1-2 HT 0-1 Valletta Valletta MLTP
22.10.2022 Valletta Valletta 0-0 HT 0-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
23.01.2022 Gzira United Gzira United 1-1 HT 0-0 Valletta Valletta MLTP
22.06.2019 Valletta Valletta 1-3 HT 0-1 Gzira United Gzira United HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valletta
1-1
AWAY Gzira United
52% Ball Possession 48%
4 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valletta vs Gzira United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valletta and Gzira United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gzira United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Valletta had 52% of the ball to Gzira United's 48%, shots finished 4-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Valletta and 1.20 for Gzira United.

What was the final score of Valletta vs Gzira United?

Valletta 1-1 Gzira United in the Malta - Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valletta vs Gzira United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gzira United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Valletta 28%, draw 25%, Gzira United 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gzira United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gzira United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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