Sliema Wanderers 3-1 Santa Lucia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
35%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.27
No
64%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
56%
-18.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
35%
Away Win
18%
+16.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.8pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sliema Wanderers EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Lucia EU Bookmakers 21%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/2.05
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -35%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sliema Wanderers
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Santa Lucia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia 0-1 HT 0-1 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
01.05.2022 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia 1-2 HT 0-0 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
13.02.2022 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-1 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia MLTP
24.10.2021 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia 0-0 HT 0-0 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sliema Wanderers
3-1
AWAY Santa Lucia
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sliema Wanderers vs Santa Lucia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sliema Wanderers saw off Santa Lucia 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Sliema Wanderers made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sliema Wanderers had 54% of the ball to Santa Lucia's 46%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sliema Wanderers had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sliema Wanderers and 0.50 for Santa Lucia.

What was the final score of Sliema Wanderers vs Santa Lucia?

Sliema Wanderers 3-1 Santa Lucia in the Malta - Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sliema Wanderers vs Santa Lucia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sliema Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sliema Wanderers 38%, draw 27%, Santa Lucia 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sliema Wanderers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sliema Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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