10/03/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Asyut Petroleum vs Dekernes Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
26%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
36%
Draw
33%
28%
Away Win
30%
72%
Under 2.5
70%
28%
Over 2.5
30%
33%
BTTS Yes
39%
67%
BTTS No
61%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Asyut Petroleum v Dekernes — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Asyut Petroleum
EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY
Dekernes
EU Bookmakers 33%
-30% /
-30%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-21% /
-21%
0.00/0.50
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.50/1.00
-100%
/
+115%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-53%
/
-9%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
11
Total Shots
9
3
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
260 · 70%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
283 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.5
Asyut Petroleum vs Dekernes Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Asyut Petroleum
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Dekernes
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
23.10.2023
Dekernes
2-0
Asyut Petroleum
MSR2
2-0
Asyut Petroleum
MSR2
POST-MATCH
Asyut Petroleum vs Dekernes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Asyut Petroleum and Dekernes shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 36% / 28% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (72%) landed while no to both teams scoring (67%) missed.
What was the final score of Asyut Petroleum vs Dekernes?
Asyut Petroleum 1-1 Dekernes in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Asyut Petroleum vs Dekernes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Asyut Petroleum win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Asyut Petroleum 36%, draw 36%, Dekernes 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/36/28)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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MSR2
More Egypt - 2nd Division
10 Mar 2024