10/03/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
0-2
El Nasr Taadeen vs Aswan FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
14%
19%
Draw
24%
57%
Away Win
62%
52%
Under 2.5
58%
48%
Over 2.5
42%
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
56%
BTTS No
61%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Nasr Taadeen v Aswan FC — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
El Nasr Taadeen
EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY
Aswan FC
EU Bookmakers 66%
-14% /
-14%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-21% /
-21%
0.66/1.32
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/1.00
+73%
/
-12%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-41%
/
-70%
42%
Ball Possession
58%
9
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
266 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
373 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
El Nasr Taadeen vs Aswan FC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
El Nasr Taadeen
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Aswan FC
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
El Nasr Taadeen vs Aswan FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Aswan FC beat El Nasr Taadeen 3-1 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Aswan FC as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of El Nasr Taadeen vs Aswan FC?
El Nasr Taadeen 1-3 Aswan FC in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Nasr Taadeen vs Aswan FC?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aswan FC win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split El Nasr Taadeen 24%, draw 19%, Aswan FC 57%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aswan FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Aswan FC)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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10 Mar 2024