22/01/2024
·
15:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
El Nasr Taadeen vs Aswan FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
31%
Draw
27%
41%
Away Win
52%
61%
Under 2.5
59%
39%
Over 2.5
41%
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
51%
BTTS No
58%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Nasr Taadeen v Aswan FC — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
El Nasr Taadeen
EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY
Aswan FC
EU Bookmakers 56%
-40% /
-40%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-100%
/
+44%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
39%
Ball Possession
61%
10
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
198 · 67%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
389 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
El Nasr Taadeen vs Aswan FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
El Nasr Taadeen and Aswan FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Aswan FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of El Nasr Taadeen vs Aswan FC?
El Nasr Taadeen 1-1 Aswan FC in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Nasr Taadeen vs Aswan FC?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aswan FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split El Nasr Taadeen 28%, draw 31%, Aswan FC 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aswan FC), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Aswan FC)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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MSR2
More Egypt - 2nd Division
22 Jan 2024