Real Esteli 1-1 Orgánica Masachapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.16
Draw
22%
7.13
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.17
Over 2.5
58%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
82%
-18.3pp
23%
Draw
11%
+11.3pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+7.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
28%
+14.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
72%
-14.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Orgánica Masachapa EU Bookmakers 9%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.35/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.04
-4% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +14%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
476 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Esteli
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Orgánica Masachapa
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 8
12.11.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 2-0 HT 1-0 Orgánica Masachapa NİK
16.09.2023 Orgánica Masachapa 0-4 HT 0-2 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
POST-MATCH Real Esteli vs Orgánica Masachapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Esteli and Orgánica Masachapa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Real Esteli at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Real Esteli had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Real Esteli and 0.00 for Orgánica Masachapa.

What was the final score of Real Esteli vs Orgánica Masachapa?

Real Esteli 1-1 Orgánica Masachapa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Esteli vs Orgánica Masachapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Real Esteli 64%, draw 23%, Orgánica Masachapa 14%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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