Podbeskidzie Bielsko 1-2 Lechia Gdansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 10 Mar 2024

Podbeskidzie Bielsko
1-2 HT 1-0
Lechia Gdansk
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒14:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Poland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Lechia Gdansk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.95
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.95
6+ Goals
10%
17.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Podbeskidzie Bielsko v Lechia Gdansk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Podbeskidzie Bielsko EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 45%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.98/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.65
-17% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -32%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
271 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 68%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5

Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Lechia Gdansk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Podbeskidzie Bielsko
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.72 xG 2.29
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
220 Passes 310
66% Pass Accuracy 73%
11 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.08.2023 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 3-0 HT 1-0 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko POL1
06.03.2021 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko 2-2 HT 1-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
26.09.2020 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 4-0 HT 3-0 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko POL
13.02.2016 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 5-0 HT 0-0 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko POL
28.08.2015 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko 1-1 HT 1-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
29.11.2014 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko 1-0 HT 1-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL

Podbeskidzie Bielsko 1-2 Lechia Gdansk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Podbeskidzie Bielsko
1-2
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Lechia Gdansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lechia Gdansk squeezed past Podbeskidzie Bielsko 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Lechia Gdansk found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Podbeskidzie Bielsko had 39% of the ball to Lechia Gdansk's 61%, shots finished 7-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lechia Gdansk led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Podbeskidzie Bielsko and 2.50 for Lechia Gdansk.

What was the final score of Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Lechia Gdansk?

Podbeskidzie Bielsko 1-2 Lechia Gdansk in the Poland - 1st Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Lechia Gdansk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lechia Gdansk win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Podbeskidzie Bielsko 34%, draw 27%, Lechia Gdansk 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lechia Gdansk), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lechia Gdansk) ✓ BTTS Yes
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