Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-1 Odra Opole — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
36%
2.94
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.59
Over 2.5
34%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
4.85
6+ Goals
9%
28.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.45 — our 37% vs market 34.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
12%
X/X
24%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.6pp
37%
Draw
31%
+5.8pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Odra Opole EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.12/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.45
-5% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Odra Opole
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.08.2023 Odra Opole Odra Opole 0-0 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL1
18.02.2023 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0-2 HT 0-1 Odra Opole Odra Opole POL1
29.07.2022 Odra Opole Odra Opole 1-4 HT 1-3 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL1
25.02.2022 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-1 HT 1-0 Odra Opole Odra Opole POL1
19.08.2021 Odra Opole Odra Opole 1-0 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL1
13.03.2021 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0-2 HT 0-0 Odra Opole Odra Opole POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1-1
AWAY Odra Opole
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Odra Opole
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Sosnowiec and Odra Opole shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 37% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Zaglebie Sosnowiec had 58% of the ball to Odra Opole's 42%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Odra Opole led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Zaglebie Sosnowiec and 1.17 for Odra Opole.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Odra Opole?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-1 Odra Opole in the Poland - 1st Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Odra Opole?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Sosnowiec 30%, draw 37%, Odra Opole 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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