Tre Penne 0-2 Domagnano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — San Marino - Şampiyona, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
55%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
42%
4-5
19%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Tre Penne win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
55%
Home Win
62%
-7.2pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.4pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tre Penne The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Domagnano The Market 19%
-80% / -80% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-100% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +60%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Tre Penne vs Domagnano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Domagnano saw off Tre Penne 2-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Tre Penne at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Tre Penne vs Domagnano?

Tre Penne 0-2 Domagnano in the San Marino - Şampiyona on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tre Penne vs Domagnano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tre Penne win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Tre Penne 55%, draw 22%, Domagnano 22%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Tre Penne) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tre Penne) ✓ BTTS No
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