10/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Virtus vs Folgore Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No Pick
54%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
42%
4-5
22%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
12%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
36%
Home Win
38%
30%
Draw
26%
34%
Away Win
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Virtus v Folgore — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Virtus
The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY
Folgore
The Market 39%
+44% /
+44%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+71%
/
-37%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
300 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
287 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Virtus vs Folgore
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Virtus got the better of Folgore 2-0.
Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Virtus found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
What was the final score of Virtus vs Folgore?
Virtus 2-0 Folgore in the San Marino - Şampiyona on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Virtus vs Folgore?
Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Virtus 36%, draw 30%, Folgore 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Virtus), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Virtus)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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SANM
More San Marino - Şampiyona
10 Mar 2024