Al Faisaly 1-3 Al Batin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Batin EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.92/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/2.02
+19% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Faisaly
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Batin
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.47 xG 1.16
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
326 Passes 339
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 8
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.10.2023 Al Batin Al Batin 2-2 HT 2-1 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
15.03.2021 Al Batin Al Batin 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SAKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Faisaly
1-3
AWAY Al Batin
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Faisaly vs Al Batin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Batin got the better of Al Faisaly 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Al Faisaly at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Faisaly had 56% of the ball to Al Batin's 44%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Faisaly had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Faisaly and 1.50 for Al Batin.

What was the final score of Al Faisaly vs Al Batin?

Al Faisaly 1-3 Al Batin in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Faisaly vs Al Batin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Faisaly win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Faisaly 50%, draw 24%, Al Batin 26%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Faisaly) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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