Al Qaisoma 1-0 Al Bukayriyah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-4.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.3pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Qaisoma EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Bukayriyah EU Bookmakers 40%
-18% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.03/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.19
-6% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -73% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
268 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Qaisoma
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Bukayriyah
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
24.10.2023 Al Bukayriyah Al Bukayriyah 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Qaisoma Al Qaisoma SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Qaisoma
1-0
AWAY Al Bukayriyah
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Qaisoma vs Al Bukayriyah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Qaisoma edged past Al Bukayriyah 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Al Qaisoma made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Al Qaisoma had 44% of the ball to Al Bukayriyah's 56%, shots finished 12-16.

What was the final score of Al Qaisoma vs Al Bukayriyah?

Al Qaisoma 1-0 Al Bukayriyah in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Qaisoma vs Al Bukayriyah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Qaisoma win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Qaisoma 39%, draw 29%, Al Bukayriyah 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Qaisoma) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Qaisoma) ✗ BTTS Yes
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