Malmö FF 1-0 Elfsborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 10 Mar 2025

Malmö FF
1-0 HT 0-0
Elfsborg
📅10/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Sweden - Cup – 2024/2025

Malmö FF vs Elfsborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.8
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.95
No
44%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.72
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.84
6+ Goals
9%
17.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
52%
-11.6pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.5pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.3pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malmö FF v Elfsborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 26%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
3.21/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.38
+89% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Malmö FF vs Elfsborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malmö FF
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Elfsborg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.32 xG 1.73
70% Ball Possession 30%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
520 Passes 157
84% Pass Accuracy 63%
27 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.05.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-1 HT 1-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
05.05.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-1 HT 1-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
12.11.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-0 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
28.05.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-0 HT 2-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
04.09.2022 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-2 HT 1-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
11.04.2022 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-1 HT 1-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ

Malmö FF 1-0 Elfsborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malmö FF
1-0
AWAY Elfsborg
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Malmö FF vs Elfsborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF edged past Elfsborg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) promised a tight game; Malmö FF found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Malmö FF had 58% of the ball to Elfsborg's 42%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Malmö FF and 1.83 for Elfsborg.

What was the final score of Malmö FF vs Elfsborg?

Malmö FF 1-0 Elfsborg in the Sweden - Cup on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malmö FF vs Elfsborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Malmö FF 40%, draw 32%, Elfsborg 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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