River Plate 1-0 Atletico Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 10 Mar 2025

📅10/03/2025 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.32
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.4
No
52%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
13.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.56
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
22.55
X/1
14%
3.51
X/2
6%
18.2
X/X
13%
6.19
2/1
10%
26.5
2/2
8%
17.75
2/X
7%
26.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
71%
-15.3pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.6pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+8.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
38%
+10.1pp
52%
BTTS No
62%
-10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME River Plate EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 14%
-10% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -6%
2.01/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.71
+23% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +2%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
406 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 68%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
24.0 Crosses 13.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME River Plate
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.74 xG 0.86
70% Ball Possession 30%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
486 Passes 153
83% Pass Accuracy 61%
30 Box Touches 13
31 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 River Plate River Plate 4-1 HT 2-1 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
15.02.2024 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 0-0 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
22.09.2023 River Plate River Plate 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
29.04.2023 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-1 HT 1-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
12.06.2022 River Plate River Plate 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
25.04.2022 River Plate River Plate 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME River Plate
1-0
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
4.39 xG 0.57
62% Ball Possession 38%
38 Total Shots 7
13 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
388 Passes 194
80% Pass Accuracy 63%
41 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH River Plate vs Atletico Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate nicked a narrow win over Atletico Tucuman 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had River Plate as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, River Plate had 62% of the ball to Atletico Tucuman's 38%, shots finished 38-7, expected goals 4.39 to 0.57 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold River Plate's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for River Plate and 0.50 for Atletico Tucuman.

What was the final score of River Plate vs Atletico Tucuman?

River Plate 1-0 Atletico Tucuman in the Argentina - Premier League on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for River Plate vs Atletico Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated a River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split River Plate 55%, draw 25%, Atletico Tucuman 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (River Plate), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (River Plate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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