River Plate 4-1 Atletico Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.25
6+ Goals
9%
21.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.9
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.6
X/1
17%
3.42
X/2
9%
12.95
X/X
14%
4.83
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
10%
11.75
2/X
5%
20.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+9.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.9pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME River Plate EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 17%
-12% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
1.86/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.50
+13% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 69%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
24.0 Crosses 14.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME River Plate
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.29 xG 0.87
71% Ball Possession 29%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
501 Passes 146
84% Pass Accuracy 61%
27 Box Touches 14
30 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2024 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 0-0 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
22.09.2023 River Plate River Plate 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
29.04.2023 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-1 HT 1-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
12.06.2022 River Plate River Plate 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
25.04.2022 River Plate River Plate 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
12.12.2021 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-1 HT 1-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME River Plate
4-1
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
3.60 xG 1.41
61% Ball Possession 39%
27 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 4
366 Passes 196
79% Pass Accuracy 63%
36 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH River Plate vs Atletico Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate swept aside Atletico Tucuman 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had River Plate as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, River Plate had 61% of the ball to Atletico Tucuman's 39%, shots finished 27-11, expected goals 3.60 to 1.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for River Plate and 0.50 for Atletico Tucuman.

What was the final score of River Plate vs Atletico Tucuman?

River Plate 4-1 Atletico Tucuman in the Argentina - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for River Plate vs Atletico Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated a River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split River Plate 52%, draw 24%, Atletico Tucuman 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (River Plate) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (River Plate) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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