Racing Club 2-1 Boca Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.46
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.84
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.04
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
14%
4.47
X/2
13%
6.81
X/X
12%
3.8
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
10%
5.53
2/X
8%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.7pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 30%
+8% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
1.47/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.19
+27% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
311 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
19.2 Crosses 17.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Boca Juniors
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.11 xG 1.04
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
353 Passes 274
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.03.2024 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 4-2 HT 1-1 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
25.10.2023 Racing Club Racing Club 2-1 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
31.08.2023 Racing Club Racing Club 0-0 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors LKU
24.08.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Club Racing Club LKU
30.04.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 3-1 HT 2-0 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
20.01.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 1-2 HT 1-1 Racing Club Racing Club ARJSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club
2-1
AWAY Boca Juniors
1.80 xG 1.07
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
288 Passes 295
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
13 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Racing Club vs Boca Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club edged past Boca Juniors 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Racing Club as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Club had 49% of the ball to Boca Juniors's 51%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.80 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Racing Club and 1.50 for Boca Juniors.

What was the final score of Racing Club vs Boca Juniors?

Racing Club 2-1 Boca Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club vs Boca Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Racing Club 44%, draw 28%, Boca Juniors 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing Club) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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