Boca Juniors 4-2 Racing Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.9
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.24
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
13.45
X/1
15%
5.63
X/2
16%
5.26
X/X
16%
3.68
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
11%
3.84
2/X
10%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.9pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.5pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.82/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.13
-10% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
18.7 Crosses 17.4
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boca Juniors
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Racing Club
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.95 xG 1.12
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 Passes 357
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2023 Racing Club Racing Club 2-1 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
31.08.2023 Racing Club Racing Club 0-0 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors LKU
24.08.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Club Racing Club LKU
30.04.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 3-1 HT 2-0 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
20.01.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 1-2 HT 1-1 Racing Club Racing Club ARJSK
06.11.2022 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 1-2 HT 1-1 Racing Club Racing Club ARJTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boca Juniors
4-2
AWAY Racing Club
1.73 xG 1.45
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 9
195 Passes 355
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boca Juniors vs Racing Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boca Juniors saw off Racing Club 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Boca Juniors found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boca Juniors had 38% of the ball to Racing Club's 62%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.73 to 1.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Club led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boca Juniors and 1.17 for Racing Club.

What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Racing Club?

Boca Juniors 4-2 Racing Club in the Argentina - Premier League on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boca Juniors vs Racing Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Boca Juniors 38%, draw 30%, Racing Club 32%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boca Juniors) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boca Juniors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
11 Mar 2024
01:15 Defensa y Justicia vs Union Santa Fe Analysis →
01:15 Talleres Cordoba vs Atletico Tucuman Analysis →