Talleres Cordoba 4-1 Atletico Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.66
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.41
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 36% vs market 31.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.76
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.45
X/1
11%
4.36
X/2
10%
7.59
X/X
18%
3.97
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
12%
6.08
2/X
8%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.5pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.4pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talleres Cordoba EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.27/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.42
-16% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 70%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
17.9 Crosses 16.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Talleres Cordoba
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.44 xG 1.26
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
346 Passes 237
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2023 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-0 HT 1-0 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba ARJ
06.02.2023 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 0-2 HT 0-0 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba ARJ
16.09.2022 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-1 HT 0-1 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba ARJ
30.04.2022 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 3-0 HT 2-0 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba ARJ
12.10.2021 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 2-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
26.04.2021 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 2-3 HT 1-1 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Talleres Cordoba
4-1
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
3.82 xG 0.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
288 Passes 306
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 20
6 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Talleres Cordoba vs Atletico Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Talleres Cordoba cruised past Atletico Tucuman 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Talleres Cordoba as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Talleres Cordoba had 48% of the ball to Atletico Tucuman's 52%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 3.82 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Talleres Cordoba had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Talleres Cordoba and 1.17 for Atletico Tucuman.

What was the final score of Talleres Cordoba vs Atletico Tucuman?

Talleres Cordoba 4-1 Atletico Tucuman in the Argentina - Premier League on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talleres Cordoba vs Atletico Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Talleres Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Talleres Cordoba 42%, draw 31%, Atletico Tucuman 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Talleres Cordoba) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Talleres Cordoba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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